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Friday, November 18, 2011

Bank of Canada could slash interest rates in a big way next year

More good news for home buyers.

 

Chris Wattie/Reuters

Bank of Canada Governor Mark Carney.


As the nail biter in Europe continues this week, two economists are predicting the Bank of Canada will move to cut rates in a big way next year.

Sheryl King, an economist at Bank of America Merril Lynch, said in a note that the volatility hitting Europe and the risk of damage to the global economy means the Bank of Canada will move to cut its benchmark interest rate to ward off the risk of recession. Her prediction is the cut will be a whopping 0.75% decrease from the current rate of 1%.

“With the Eurozone sovereign debt and banking crisis showing no sign of containment, we think the Bank of Canada will cut rates back to the effective lower bound of 25 basis points (0.25%) early next year,” she said.

Ms. King forecasts that the cut would come in two phases, with a 0.50% trim being announced during the bank’s January 17 meeting, while the second and final 0.25% cut coming during the March 8 meeting.

Also predicting a lower interest rate next year is David Madani, Canada economist at Capital Economics. He is forecasting a more mild cut of 50 basis points, however, saying he expects it to occur in April or June.

Either way, Mr. Madani said he expects interest rates in Canada will remain low for some time.

“The Bank might communicate that its policy rate will remain at 0.50% for a lengthy period of time, conditional on its projected outlook for consumer price inflation,” he said, in reference to the Bank of Canada’s target of 2% annual inflation.

“Even if we are wrong, the broader message remains that interest rates will remain unusually low for a very long time.”

Most economists, however, are still predicting that the Bank of Canada will raise interest rates rather than lower them in 2012. In a recent Reuters survey of 40 economists last month, the consensus was that an interest rate increase will occur in the third quarter of next year.

If rates are cut, it will mark a sharp turnaround for the Bank of Canada, which only last year raised interest rates. Canada became one of the first advanced economies to raise its benchmark interest rates following the recession when the Bank of Canada implemented a 25 basis point hike in September of last year. The benchmark rate has since remained unchanged at 1%.

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Friday, November 4, 2011

Stats from the real estate board for the month of October 2011

Greater Vancouver at lower end of balanced market

With a sales-to-active property listings ratio of 15 per cent,

the Greater Vancouver housing market continues to hover at

the lower end of a balanced market and has been trending in that direction over the past five months.

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential property sales of detached, attached and apartment properties on the region’s Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) system reached 2,317 in October, a 1 per cent decrease compared to the 2,337 sales in October 2010 and a 3.2 per cent increase compared to the previous month. Those sales rank as the second lowest total for October over the last 10 years.

“Right now, prospective home buyers have a good selection of properties to choose from and more time to make decisions,” Rosario Setticasi, REBGV president said. “Home sellers should be mindful of local market conditions to ensure they are pricing their properties competitively.”

New listings for detached, attached and apartment properties in Greater Vancouver totalled 4,374 in October, which is on par with the 10-year average. This represents an 18.3 per cent increase compared to October 2010, when 3,698 properties were listed for sale on the MLS®, and a 23 per cent decrease compared to the 5,680 new listings reported in September 2011.

The total number of properties listed for sale on the Greater Vancouver MLS® system currently sits at 15,377, which is 9.3 per cent higher than the 14,075 properties listed for sale during the same period last year. October was the first month that the total number of property listings showed a decrease this year.

The MLSLink® Housing Price Index (HPI) benchmark price for all residential properties in Greater Vancouver over the last 12 months has increased 7.5 per cent to $622,955 in October 2011 from $579,349 in October 2010. However, since reaching a peak in June of $630,921, the benchmark price for all residential properties in the region has declined 1.3 per cent.

Sales of detached properties in October reached 974, which represents virtually no change from the 976 detached sales recorded in October 2010, and a 34.5 per cent decrease from the 1,487 units sold in October 2009. The benchmark price for detached properties increased 11 per cent from October 2010 to $884,778, but decreased 1.3 per cent compared to the previous month.

Sales of apartment properties reached 958 in October, a 2.6 per cent decrease compared to the 984 sales in October 2010, and a decrease of 40.4 per cent compared to the 1,607 sales in October 2009. The benchmark price of an apartment property increased 3.2 per cent from October 2010 to $402,702, but decreased 0.7 per cent compared to the previous month.

Attached property sales in October totalled 382, a 1.3 per cent increase compared to the 377 sales in October 2010, and a 37.4 per cent decrease from the 610 attached properties sold in October 2009. The benchmark price of an attached unit increased 6.5 per cent between October 2010 and 2011 to $519,455, and increased half a per cent compared to the previous month.

Download the complete stats package by clicking here.

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Tuesday, September 6, 2011

How to get the most value out of your home renovations and what to avoid

A good investment in a renovation should increase the value of your home by at least the amount of money you spent, or close to it. A bad one doesn't get you much of your money back. Here are some investments that have proven to return their value, or close to it:

  • Low-cost improvements that make your home look better: Painting, new wallpaper, and items like new rugs and curtains help to brighten and improve the look of a home, and add value to your house if they are done close to the time of sale.
  • New or improved kitchens and bathrooms: Improvements to your kitchen and bathroom seem most likely to increase the value of your home. Keep in mind that these improvements lose value over time.
  • Improvements to the living room and the master bedroom: These are also good investments and will usually return most of the money you spent, if not more.
  • Investments in more efficient use of energy: Oil, gas, and hydro costs continue to go up. That's becoming more of a concern when people are looking to buy a home. You can make your home more energy efficient as an investment in its value. Some government programs help reduce the costs of these projects. Also, consider buying appliances that waste less energy.
  • Keeping up with repairs. If you do a little at a time, you can avoid doing a lot of expensive repairs at the same time. A reasonable amount to spend yearly is 1% to 2% of the value of your home.
What are some renovations that don't add much value to my home?
  • Swimming pool: Make sure you want a pool before you invest in a pool. The cost of putting in one won't show up in the price that you get when you sell a home.
  • Costly appliances: Most people won't want to pay an extra $4,000 for your home to pay for a $7,000 refrigerator instead of a $1,200 refrigerator. If you pay thousands of dollars for top-of-the-line appliances, enjoy them. You probably won't get your money back if you sell them with your home.
  • Costly landscaping: The way your home looks from the street can really help interest buyers. It's called 'curb appeal.' But if you spend $30,000 in landscaping, don't expect to get it all back. Most buyers probably won't see or appreciate the value.
  • Renovating in an area where homes are being torn down: Tear-down activity involves homes being sold, torn down, and replaced by bigger, more expensive homes. If someone is going to buy your home and tear it down, a renovation won't return any of your money. The buyer will have no interest in the building, just in the land.
Remember: Don't assume you will get all your money back from a renovation.

The key to renovating is to keep the house in good repair and do the renovations you want to enjoy. If you think you might be selling in the near future, focus on renovations that are more likely to get your money back.

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Thursday, August 11, 2011

B.C. home sales and average prices rise in July

B.C. home sales rose 12.9 per cent to 6,533 units in July compared to July 2010, while the average price climbed 10 per cent to $541,000, the B.C. Real Estate Association reported Thursday.

However, there was a wide discrepancy in price increases around the province, with Metro Vancouver continuing to show the highest increase.

But price increases in Metro Vancouver are slowing down, and are expected to slow down even further in the coming months.

"In Metro Vancouver, the price numbers have been inflated over the past several months as higher end [single detached] properties selling in pricier neighbourhoods [pushed] the average price higher," BCREA chief economist Cameron Muir said in an interview. "But this is unlikely to be sustained over the longer term."

Muir expects the number of single detached homes sold in pricier neighbourhoods like West Vancouver and Vancouver's west side won't be as high a proportion as experienced in recent months.

"Three months ago, the average price [in Metro Vancouver] was growing 25 per cent year over year," he said. "Now, it's dropped to 16 per cent."

According to the survey, Metro Vancouver saw a 15.9-per-cent increase in the average price of a residential property in July compared to July 2010, from $658,000 to $762,000. The Fraser Valley recorded a 9.7-per cent increase, from $459,000 to $504,000.

However, the Okanagan Mainline recorded a minuscule 0.5-per-cent increase, from $406,000 to $408,000, while Kamloops saw a 7.6-per-cent decline, from $311,000 to $287,000. Victoria recorded a six-per-cent decline, from $497,000 to $467,000.

Muir noted that housing demand in the near future could be bolstered by lower interest rates as investors flock to bonds and bank analysts predict the Bank of Canada will keep its overnight target rate steady in light of the U.S. Federal Reserve saying it expected that an increase in rates would not be warranted, given the state of the U.S. economy, until 2013.

He said that recent global economic uncertainty means that mortgage rates have the potential to reach record lows in the coming weeks as investors flock into bond markets. "This will mean added purchasing power and affordability for consumers."

Year-to-date, B.C. residential sales dollar volume increased 16.5 per cent to $28.2 billion, compared to the same period last year. Residential unit sales increased one per cent to 48,628 units, while the average residential price for houses sold through the multiple listings service rose 15.3 per cent to $579,645, BCREA said.

Muir noted that home sales edged down four per cent from June to July on a seasonally adjusted basis. "Less frenetic buying activity in Vancouver operated to pull total provincial sales lower."

 
Story provided by the Vancouver Sun
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Tuesday, May 3, 2011

Budgeting for home maintenance

It's important for home buyers to know that all homes-old or
new-need ongoing maintenance.

First, buyers should understand the 1% rule. This rule postulates
that normal maintenance on a home is about 1% of the value of
the home per year. For example, a $250,000 home would
require $2,500 per year to maintain. This would be enough
to replace the roof covering...and then, a few years later,
to replace a failed hot water tank...and then a few years more
until a new central air system is required.

Then there is the 3% rule. Some experts say that home buyers should plan on spending 3% of the value of the home in the first year of ownership. This is because new homeowners will most likely have to buy drapes, blinds, a washer and dryer, a stove, maybe even a new roof covering. Also, new homeowners often customize the environment to their taste, so they need to budget for repairs, replacements and maintenance.

In addition, most home components have fairly predictable life cycles. For example, the typical life cycle of a high-efficiency furnace is 15 to 20 years. What this means is that most high-efficiency furnaces last between 15 and 20 years.

One way to know the extent of the maintenance needed and the costs to repair and/or replace items is to have a home inspection conducted. Home inspectors are required to let the buyer know if a component is significantly deficient or if it is near the end of its life cycle (service life), and a reputable home inspection company may offer up-to-date repair-cost guides to help clients with their planning.

Home inspectors work with Realtors and buyers to help them understand the issues that are found in the home, regardless of age, offering the right perspective and objective information. Home buyers need to understand that it's normal for items in a home to wear out. This should be regarded as normal "wear and tear" and not necessarily a defect.

A good home inspection determines the current condition of the house, offering a report of all the systems and components in need of maintenance, service, repair or replacement.

For example, consider a home inspection that uncovers that the heating system is old and requires replacement. A home buyer may see this as a huge problem. However, this problem may be the only item in the home that requires attention. If a buyer were to look at this situation in perspective, this home could be well above average-a home merely requiring a new furnace.

A good home inspection provides objective information to help the buyer make an informed decision. Knowing what items need to be budgeted for repair or replacement will help home buyers plan or negotiate better and not be stuck with unexpected costs of hundreds, or even thousands of dollars in the long run. Also, fixing these items will make a marked improvement on the performance of a home and minimize issues that could affect its future integrity...and value.

For more information, please contact your local Pillar To Post home inspector.



 Vancouver@pillartopost.com

www.pillartopost-vancouver.com


 Article provided by Pillar to Post

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Thursday, April 14, 2011

9 ways to sell your home faster

With Vancouver's real estate market bolstered by an influx of investment from offshore sources, selling a home in the area may be less of a challenge then most other markets in North America.

But there are still ways you can make sure your home sells faster on the market.


1. Differentiate From the Neighbors - In order to attract attention and to make your home more memorable, consider custom designs or additions, such as landscaping, high grade windows or a new roof. This can help improve the home's aesthetics, while potentially adding value to the home. Any improvements should be practical and use colors and designs that will appeal to the widest audience.

2. Don't overdo it - While it can pay to spice up your home, don't over-improve it. According to a 2006 article in Realtor Magazine, some renovations, such as adding a bathroom or a sun room, might not always pay. The data suggests that the nationwide average amount recouped for a bathroom addition is about 75%. For a sun room, it's even less. If you're going to invest in renovations, do your research and be sure to put your money into the things that are likely to get you the best return.

3. Clean the Clutter - It is imperative to remove all clutter from the home before showing it to potential buyers because buyers need to be able to picture themselves in the space. This might include removing some furniture to make rooms look bigger, and putting away family photographs and personal items. You may even want to hire a stager to help you make better use of the space.

4. Sweeten the Deal - One way to make the home and deal more attractive to buyers is to offer things or terms that might sweeten the pot. For example, sellers that offer the buyer a couple of thousand dollars credit toward closing costs will receive more attention from house hunters looking at similar homes.

5. Offer Transferable Warranty - A potential buyer may feel more at ease knowing that he or she will be covered against such problems, which could make your home more attractive than a competing home

6. Offer quick closing period - If it is possible for you to close on the home within 30 to 60 days, this may set your deal apart and get you a contract.

7. Improve Curb Appeal - Sellers often overlook the importance of their home's curb appeal. The first thing a buyer sees is a home's external appearance and the way it fits into the surrounding neighborhood. Try to make certain that the exterior has a fresh coat of paint, and that the bushes and lawn are well manicured. In real estate, appearances mean a lot. 

8. Get Your Home in "Move In" Condition - Doors, appliances and electrical and plumbing fixtures should be in compliance with current building codes and in working order. The idea is to have the home in move in condition and to give potential buyers the impression that they will be able to move right in and start enjoying their new home.

9. Pricing It Right - Look around to see what the prices are in the market. Regardless of how well you renovate and stage your home, it is still important to price the home appropriately. Try to put yourself in the buyer's shoes and then determine what a fair price might be.


Hope this helps. Don't hesitate to contact us if you have any questions, we're always happy to help!

Source from the Vancouver Sun
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Monday, October 4, 2010

September Stats from the Real Estate Board of Vancouver

Please click on the link below for the complete September Stats provided by the Greater Vancouver Real Estate Board.

Download the complete stats package by clicking here.

Please contact me if you have any questions.

Thank you,

Nadia
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Sunday, October 3, 2010

Things you may think add value to your home but really don't


Every homeowner must pay for routine home maintenance, such as replacing worn-out plumbing components or staining the deck, but some choose to make improvements with the intention of increasing the home's value. 

Certain projects, such as adding a well thought-out family room or other functional space can be a wise investment, as they do add to the value of the home. Other projects, however, allow little opportunity to recover the costs when it's time to sell. 

Even though the current homeowner may greatly appreciate the improvement, a buyer could be unimpressed and unwilling to factor the upgrade into the purchase price. Homeowners, therefore, need to be careful with how they choose to spend their money if they are expecting the investment to pay off. Here are six things you think add value to your home, but really don't.

Swimming Pools

Swimming pools are one of those things that may be nice to enjoy at your friend's or neighbour's house, but that can be a hassle to have at your own home. Many potential homebuyers view swimming pools as dangerous, expensive to maintain and a lawsuit waiting to happen. 

Families with young children in particular may turn down an otherwise perfect house because of the pool (and the fear of a child going in the pool unsupervised). In fact, a would-be buyer's offer may be contingent on the home seller dismantling an above-ground pool or filling in an in-ground pool. 

An in-ground pool costs anywhere from $10,000 to more than $100,000, and additional yearly maintenance expenses need to be considered. That's a significant amount of money that might never be recouped if and when the house is sold.

Overbuilding for the Neighbourhood

Homeowners may, in an attempt to increase the value of a home, make improvements to the property that unintentionally make the home fall outside of the norm for the neighbourhood. While a large, expensive remodel, such as adding a second story with two bedrooms and a full bath, might make the home more appealing, it will not add significantly to the resale value if the house is in the midst of a neighbourhood of small, one-storey homes. 

In general, homebuyers do not want to pay $250,000 for a house that sits in a neighbourhood with an average sales price of $150,000; the house will seem overpriced even if it is more desirable than the surrounding properties. The buyer will instead look to spend the $250,000 in a $250,000 neighbourhood. The house might be beautiful, but any money spent on overbuilding might be difficult to recover unless the other homes in the neighborhood follow suit.

Extensive Landscaping

Homebuyers may appreciate well-maintained or mature landscaping, but don't expect the home's value to increase because of it. A beautiful yard may encourage potential buyers to take a closer look at the property, but will probably not add to the selling price. If a buyer is unable or unwilling to put in the effort to maintain a garden, it will quickly become an eyesore, or the new homeowner might need to pay a qualified gardener to take charge. Either way, many buyers view elaborate landscaping as a burden (even though it might be attractive) and, as a result, are not likely to consider it when placing value on the home.

High-End Upgrades


Putting stainless steel appliances in your kitchen or imported tiles in your entryway may do little to increase the value of your home if the bathrooms are still vinyl-floored and the shag carpeting in the bedrooms is leftover from the '60s. Upgrades should be consistent to maintain a similar style and quality throughout the home. 

A home that has a beautifully remodeled and modern kitchen can be viewed as a work in project if the bathrooms remain functionally obsolete. The remodel, therefore, might not fetch as high a return as if the rest of the home were brought up to the same level. High-quality upgrades generally increase the value of high-end homes, but not necessarily mid-range houses where the upgrade may be inconsistent with the rest of the home. 

In addition, specific high-end features such as media rooms with specialized audio, visual or gaming equipment may be appealing to a few prospective buyers, but many potential homebuyers would not consider paying more for the home simply because of this additional feature. Chances are that the room would be re-tasked to a more generic living space. 

Wall-to-Wall Carpeting


While real estate listings may still boast "new carpeting throughout" as a selling point, potential homebuyers today may cringe at the idea of having wall-to-wall carpeting. Carpeting is expensive to purchase and install. In addition, there is growing concern over the healthfulness of carpeting due to the amount of chemicals used in its processing and the potential for allergens (a serious concern for families with children). Add to that the probability that the carpet style and colour that you thought was absolutely perfect might not be what someone else had in mind. 

Because of these hurdles, wall-to-wall carpet is something on which it's difficult to recoup the costs. Removing carpeting and restoring wood floors is usually a more profitable investment.

Invisible Improvements

Invisible improvements are those costly projects that you know make your house a better place to live in, but that nobody else would notice - or likely care about. A new plumbing system or HVAC unit (heating, venting and air conditioning) might be necessary, but don't expect it to recover these costs when it comes time to sell. 

Many homebuyers simply expect these systems to be in good working order and will not pay extra just because you recently installed a new heater. It may be better to think of these improvements in terms of regular maintenance, and not an investment in your home's value. 

The Bottom Line

It is difficult to imagine spending thousands of dollars on a home-improvement project that will not be reflected in the home's value when it comes time to sell. There is no simple equation for determining which projects will garner the highest return, or the most bang for your buck. 

Some of this depends on the local market and even the age and style of the house. Homeowners frequently must choose between an improvement that they would really love to have (the in-ground swimming pool) and one that would prove to be a better investment. A bit of research, or the advice of a qualified real estate professional, can help homeowners avoid costly projects that don't really add value to a home.

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Thursday, May 13, 2010

Yes, you can afford to live here - if you're willing to do a little work


There is a theory that home ownership in Metro Vancouver is beyond the limit of ordinay working folks. And while there is some truth to that theory, that only the rich or lucky can afford the best neighbourhoods. It's a promulgation fed beyond logic by those who rail our cost of living,  about leaky condos and greedy developers and non-residents driving up prices. About the average cost of a detached house in the region being too close to $1 million and about the area's 22 municipalities falling short on affordable housing for all kinds of residents. 

 
All the same, we have to keep in mind that this city has gone through an incredible metamorphosis. Most would agree that a reasonably priced home in this land of milk and honey is out of reach of the common man. Not too long ago a detached home in Vancouver proper that would cost a mere half million is now going for close to $1 million or more. That coupled with the plethora of postage stamp sized condos being bought and sold by investor’s from anywhere and everywhere have caused a lot of people to feel the pinch. But that being said, perhaps it’s not yet time to run and get the ruby slippers – things are not as bad as they seem.
 
Watching home renovation shows, taking virtual tours and reading all those diy magazines can skew ones thinking a bit. Not all homes are going to look like the palace you envision when you first buy a place. That being said, scaling back expectations can help immeasurably when starting out in a market such as ours. Looking at prices after our recession you will see that both sales and inventory are up, coupled with low interest rates things are definitely looking rosy for the new buyer.
 

In Surrey Saturday there was a line up to purchase units in the Quattro building at Gateway SkyTrain station from $139,000 and up. Half of the modern units with all the fixin’s were listed for less than $200,000. In Langley, the prices were $149,000 for a one bedroom and $229,000 for two bedroom, Euro-inspired condos.

If this is too far in the suburbs how about the new projects slated for completion on Kingsway? The Scene Vancouver East condos for sale are going for $259,900 and up and Yaletown units at Nelson and Seymour starting at $239,000.

The Multiple Listing Service (MLS) has 382 apartments for $300,000 or less in Vancouver alone and way more if you are able to venture outside the city. A lot of these are move in ready with all the perks and privileges of the new modern condo.
 

Looking for your own little patch of earth? In Vancouver, as in Richmond and Burnaby and North Vancouver, there are only a handful of houses selling for less than $500,000, but according to the MLS on Friday, there are 88 in Coquitlam, 145 in Langley, 420 in Abbotsford, 212 in Maple Ridge and 753 in Surrey.

Many are less than $400,000. You may have to be willing to roll up your sleeves and get a little dirty but welcome to the concept of owning your own home! The thing to keep in mind is that a fixer upper is not going to have the designer furniture staged just so when you walk in the door. Nor will you see all the latest stainless steel appliances or shiny new surfaces.The important thing to remember is that the home is sound and has good bones that you can work with slowly over time to become your little piece of paradise.
 

In real estate as in life, we move up one step at a time unless we are the children of immigrants who had enough foresight to snap up real estate along the dirt road that used to be downtown and is now referred to as Main and Terminal. You may have to scale down your expectations and live in the suburbs for awhile but keep in mind that we do live in one of the best cities in the world and for those of us on a budget, commuting is a foregone conclusion if what you’re looking for is more living space. It’s either that or pull up stakes and move out East…

 

Source: the Vancouver Sun

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Saturday, April 17, 2010

Vancouver Baby Boomers Cash-In

While the stock market is looking less than rosy, Baby Boomers in Vancouver are sitting on the proverbial golden egg.

Average prices for single homes in Vancouver in 1980 was $100,000. The same homes now sell for around $1,000,000. That increase in value coupled with low low interest rates finance renovations that only improve the value even more.

They can use this money to renovate, invest in more real estate or help their own children enter a rather formidable real estate market. With the kids moved out baby boomers are also downsizing and moving to condos closer to luxury amenities and within walking distance to the waterfront.
There are some who speculated that the amount of baby boomers rushing to sell would ultimately reduce property values but that hasn't happened in the lower mainland. Despite population growth of *55% in BC, boomers have not negatively impacted the market. (*Source BC Statistics)

Last month, there was a reported increase of 67.1% of property sales over February 2009 and a 28.6% increase over January 2009 by the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver. Purchasers fueled by the Olympics and flocking from Mainland China may be the source of at least a good portion of this increase.

Downsizing has allowed boomers to liquidate some equity for retirement. For some, purchasing condos in the Fraser Valley can leave as much as $1 mill. as a nest egg for retirement.

But boomers aren't willing to give up the space to which they've been accustomed. They may not be willing to move into a 500 square foot home that new home owners are used to. Two bedrooms with ensuite and den with all amenities are usually a requirement. There is also the option of extending their original properties through renovation/remodeling to allow for rental space and retention of valuable property.

Source, The Vancouver Sun

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Friday, April 9, 2010

Flood of New Listings Takes Pressure off Hot Market - March

March has seen an added 7004 listings to the Multiple Listing Service (MLS) in Greater Vancouver. That's up 60% from last year this time.

Average prices have also reached a high of $584,435 on all property types. This value is up 20% from last year and 3% above last year's peak.
 
Of course low interest rates have fueled our local market and the increase in prices always encourages people to sell - "We were expecting to see listings increase," Robyn Adamache, senior analyst with Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp., said in an interview.

"Certainly any time you see prices rising is generally when you see more listings coming on line."

The increase has exceeded expectations of the Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp.

The market is expected to be pretty well balanced with supply controlling the rising prices. Total inventory of unsold homes in Greater Vancouver is 13,538 in March closing in on the record of 20,000 available in fall 2008.

Alternatively, realtors posted sales of 3,137 in March - 39% above March/09. Detached homes were up the most in the Greater Vancouver region with 1,336 sales, a 49-per-cent increase from March a year ago, averaging $800,341. That average is up 23% from last year but down 0.6% from February/10.

Source - The Vancouver Sun

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Wednesday, April 7, 2010

The New Low in Mortgage Rates

 

It's the end of an era and a mad rush of desperate homebuyers flooded banks and brokers looking for the last good deal. Major banks posted their increases of almost 11% to 5.85 per cent on 5 year posted rates.

The rate increase comes as no surprise as it's just been a matter of when and how much. With the stirrings of life in our national economy and major gains in the past few months in the real estate market - not just in Metro Vancouver but also BC as a whole.

“People know rates are going up,” LeMay said. “The Bank of Canada said its overnight rate is going up. People put it all into one basket and think everything is going up.”

Monday's increases are the end of this particular portion of the government's economic stimulus plan. The finance minister Jim Flaherty voiced concerns over overheated housing markets and Canada Governor Mark Carney's worry over our debt levels, rates were expected to rise to slow the economy.

"Joe Santos, president of the Mortgage Brokers Association calculated that a family with $100,000 in household income, assuming they can negotiate a reasonable discount to posted five-year rates, would see their purchasing power reduced by about $40,000.

Before the change, he said, that family could qualify for a $614,000, five-year mortgage with 35-year amortization and a discounted mortgage rate of 3.89 per cent.

Now, however, the same family would likely face a discounted rate of 4.49 per cent, which reduces the maximum mortgage they could qualify for to $574,000."

“It’s obviously going to make it more difficult for people to qualify for Vancouver and Lower Mainland purchases, because property values tend to be higher here than in the rest of Canada,” Santos said.

Added to that, changes to mortgage qualification rules will also affect variable rate mortgages. Prime for now is at 2.25% but after April 19 buyers with only 5% down must qualify for a mortgage with the five year posted rate in order to get a variable mortgage.

The trend is now moving back to a fixed mortgage rate. For the last couple of years with variable rates at an all time low as many as 40% of homebuyers chose the variable rate.

What we all need to remember however, is that although we're not getting rock bottom rates we are still in good shape compared to just a few years ago. "Kevin Lutz, B.C. regional mortgage manager for RBC, noted that posted five-year fixed rates were 7.19 per cent two years ago, and the prime rate was 5.25 per cent."

Source: The Vancouver Sun

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Monday, April 5, 2010

Average price of Metro Vancouver home now almost $663,000, above pre-recession levels

"Metro Vancouver's cheap-mortgage-fuelled real estate market has overshot its previous peak for prices with indications it will keep going, albeit more slowly, before cooling with the rise in interest rates."

Average prices in February in Metro Vancouver excluding Surrey, Langley and White Rock are at $662,741. The previous peak in May 2008 was $624,639. The combination of warmer weather and the influx of visitors from all over the world has had some measurable impact on our local real estate market.

The Teranet-National Bank housing price index analyses on the repeat sales of homes shows a that the deflation during our recent recession had all but been regained by January. This trend while expected to continue will most likely go more slowly. They found January was the ninth month in a row in which the national price index increased.

"Even in Vancouver, we've gained back everything we lost," Simon Cote, an analyst at the National Bank of Canada said in an interview. "The pace might be slowing a bit, but they are still going up."

Metro Vancouver prices have seen the following trends:

      1. Reached recession low in May 2009, but rose 11.7% between May and Jan/2010
      2. Prices rose 0.9% between December and January, biggest gain amongst 6 major markets
      3. Increases in supply of both new construction and more resale homes available will tend to balance the market for the long term.

Increased mortgage rates will also contribute to this balance. Canada banks increased their posted 5 year rates by .6 of a percent on Monday/Tuesday to 5.85. "For a family with a household income of $70,000, Muir said, this week's bump in five-year rates for buyers seeking five-year terms reduces the final amount they can pay for a home by $35,000."

Source: The Vancouver Sun

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Sunday, March 28, 2010

Real-estate markets should become ‘more subdued’ after hot spring

VANCOUVER — Canada’s real estate markets should remain heated through the spring, fuelled by generationally low mortgage rates, before settling into “more subdued” conditions as those rates rise, says the latest forecast from Scotia Economics.

Scotia Economics senior economist Adrienne Warren said the last decade saw “the strongest decade of real price appreciation in at least 50 years,” which will require an extended period for the economy to catch up with job creation and wage increases.

“If people were looking back at the last decade thinking that was normal, well it wasn’t normal, it was an exceptional decade,” Warren said in an interview.

Right now, she said, buyers are “bombarded by news headlines saying, and I think they’re correct,” that rates have hit bottom and will go higher, which is “adding a sense of urgency” to the market.

Listings of new properties, however, have not kept pace with this surge in buying, Warren said, and the result is bidding wars for properties that have pushed average prices to test “new highs, both for new and resale homes.”

Warren estimates that nationally, average prices are about 10 to 15 per cent above their underlying “fair value,” with some western markets likely more out of line.

“We haven’t broken it down for specific markets, but I would say there’s probably a little bit of a larger overvaluation in some western markets that had bigger run-ups [in prices],” Warren said, “so that would probably apply to Vancouver.”

After a sharp fall-off in sales and prices during the recession, Warren said Metro Vancouver saw an equally sharp bounce back.

The dip in prices for Vancouver barely shows up in the annualized pricing data Warren cites in her global real estate trends report.

Metro Vancouver showed an average home price of $592,441 in 2009 following the downturn, which was negligibly lower than the $593,767 average price of 2008.

Already in the opening months of 2010, Vancouver’s average price has hit $630,028.

The Metro Vancouver market, Warren said, does tend to retain high prices because of its unique geographic constraints, which makes the region “the least affordable market [in Canada] as well.”

Warren said she expects mortgage rates to remain relatively low and that, so long as the economic recovery continues, Canada will not experience the conditions that would spark a correction of real estate prices.

She forecasts Canada will see a “normal adjustment period,” in which property prices remain relatively flat for a significant period while other aspects of the economy improve.

Warren’s forecast anticipates that Canadians will focus more on paying down debt in the coming years, a period during which a strong Canadian dollar will also restrain the economy.

She also expects the growth in new households to be slower through the coming decade than it was during the previous decade.

Source from the Vancouver Sun.

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Thursday, February 25, 2010

Vancouver Market trend report

The heated activity of late 2009 spilled over into Greater Vancouver’s real estate market in January, with 1,923 homes changing hand up 152 % over last year. While inventory showed some improvement, it still posted a 26 % deficit over January 2009 at 10,218 listings. That fact, combined with very healthy demand out of the gate, has created ideal conditions for bidding wars and upward pressure on pricing.

While the market was dominated by first-time buyers during much of 2009, the move-up segment has re-emerged, driving sales from $600,000 to $1 million. With all segments working in tandem, multiple offers are now occurring with frequency across the board. Buyers are aggressive, more than willing to compete. Yet, despite the increased level of competition, most are demonstrating caution, given the economic realities of the still-too-fresh recession and tenuous recovery currently underway.

While there are some exceptions, most homes are selling at list price and under. Existing fundamentals do point to further price growth in the months ahead, especially if the disparity between supply and demand continues to exist. The simple truth remains that for every deal closed in Greater Vancouver, approximately two to five unsuccessful purchasers jump back into the fold. The benchmark value of detached homes increased 19.5 % to $788,499, while condominiums increased 15 % to $385,487, when compared to January 2009. The benchmark price for all residential property types combined is up 17 % to $573,241—nearly one per cent higher than the all-time market peak in May 2008.

The looming Harmonized Sales Tax (HST) and threat of interest rate hikes later in the year has added fuel to Vancouver’s already robust real estate market in 2010. Rising confidence is also a considerable factor. Purchasers are more secure in their belief that the worst of the recession is over and the prospects going forward are brighter. Given the framework that’s taken shape, the momentum is expected to continue unabated through the second quarter. Little relief is expected in terms of supply in the short-term. Rising prices may entice potential sellers in coming months, helping to ease the inventory crunch closer to mid-year.

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Friday, February 12, 2010

B.C. home sales remain high, less frenetic

Markets are easing to levels in keeping with the economy.

Real estate sales in January eased off the frenetic pace markets saw in December across British Columbia, the B.C. Real Estate Association reported Thursday.

While overall provincial market in January represented a sea change from the doldrums of early 2009, buyers seem to be coming sated.

"We saw a dramatic rebound in sales since last January, and that pace of sales that we saw in December, and during the last quarter, was unlikely to be sustained through 2010," Cameron Muir, the association's chief economist said in an interview.

January's sales, recorded through the Multiple Listing Service, hit 4,619 units, some 118 per cent more than the same month a year ago, but down about 16 per cent from December.

That slowing from December's hectic pace, Muir said, happened because many home hunters have bought, which lessens the "pent up demand." Other potential buyers, however, have been squeezed out by the rebound in home prices, which have begun to again approach pre-downturn highs.

With sales still elevated, the provincial average price hit $491,571 in January, up 19 per cent from the same month a year ago.

"Mortgage rates are still low," Muir said, so on the basis of monthly payments, "housing is still more affordable than it was at the previous peak in the first quarter of 2008."

However, with less pent-up demand and with home sellers expected to list homes in larger numbers during the coming months, Muir said "we are likely to see much less upward pressure" on prices during the rest of the year.

Carol Frketich, regional economist for Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp., said January's easing in sales compared with December "is right in line with CMHC's forecast."

The high level of sales through the end of 2009, which was driven largely by the rapid decline of mortgage rates to record low levels that made monthly home payments more affordable, were expected to cool as conditions changed.

"What we're seeing now is sales moving lower from high levels back to levels that are more consistent with economic fundamentals," said Frketich, with those economic conditions being a slow recovery from the recession of late 2008 and early 2009.

While unemployment is still higher than it was at the peak, Frketich said the employment market is a "lagging indicator" of economic improvement. Companies do not start hiring again until they are sure business is improving.

And Frketich said other economic conditions, such as retail sales, have shown that the economy is beginning to improve.

Meanwhile, the higher levels of home sales have prompted developers to start work on more new homes, and builders are being rewarded with slight rises in prices.

Statistics Canada released its survey on new home prices Thursday, which showed that Metro Vancouver's new home prices in December increased 0.7 per cent from November. However, prices had still not caught up with where they were in December 2008, remaining 2.2 per cent below that mark.

Nationally, new-home prices were up 0.4 per cent in December compared with November.

Source: the Vancouver Sun

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Thursday, February 4, 2010

Market Update

Real estate market surging
 
As Mentioned in the Globe and Mail early signs indicate that Canada's hot real estate market surged again in January. Among the cities to report data, sales rose an average of more than 60 per cent, and prices more than 14 per cent, from a year earlier in Toronto, Calgary, Edmonton and Ottawa, BMO Nesbitt Burns says. In Toronto, sales jumped 87 per cent and prices 19 per cent. Earlier this week, the Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver reported that, excluding apartment properties, sales rose 141 per cent in January from a year earlier, and prices 19.5 per cent.
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Tuesday, February 2, 2010

REBGV Stats for January, 2010

 

Housing supply and demand reach closer alignment in January.

Diverse selection and favourable interest rates continue to drive demand in the Greater Vancouver housing market.

The Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver (REBGV) reports that residential property sales in Greater Vancouver totalled 1,923 in January 2010, an increase of 152.4 per cent compared to January 2009 when 762 sales were recorded and a 23.5 per cent decline compared to the 2,515 sales recorded in December 2009.

In terms of historical perspective, January ranked as an average month for number of residential housing sales over the past decade, with higher sales in January 2002, 2003, 2004, and 2006.

Over the last 12 months, the MLSLink® Housing Price Index (HPI) benchmark price for all residential properties in Greater Vancouver increased 17.2 per cent to $573,241 from $489,007 in January 2009. This price is 0.8 per cent above the previous high point in the market in May 2008 when the residential benchmark price sat at $568,411.

 “Although home prices in the region have largely returned to their previous peaks, we still see a significant number of first-time and move-up buyers in the market, thanks to low interest rates and the diverse range of properties available today,” Jake Moldowan, REBGV president-elect said.

“There is also closer alignment between supply and demand in today’s housing market. At 18 per cent, the sales-to-active listings ratio in January is approximately 10 per cent lower than we’ve seen in our market over the last six months,” Moldowan said.

New listings for detached, attached and apartment properties in Greater Vancouver totalled 5,147 in January 2010. This represents a 39.1 per cent increase compared to January 2009 when 3,700 new units were listed, and a 139.1 per cent increase compared to December 2009 when 2,153 properties were listed on the Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) in Greater Vancouver.

At 10,218, the total number of property listings on the MLS® increased 14 per cent in January compared to last month and declined 26 per cent from this time last year.

“Looking ahead, it’s difficult to know exactly what the Olympic effect will be on our market in February, although I think it’s fair to say it should be a quieter period for home buyers and sellers and so, in fact, may be a good time for motivated buyers to search for properties,” Moldowan said.

In January, sales of detached properties increased 141.4 per cent to 705 from the 292 detached sales recorded during the same period in 2009. The benchmark price, as calculated by the MLSLink® Housing Price Index, for detached properties increased 19.5 per cent from January 2009 to $788,499.

Sales of apartment properties in January 2010 increased 146.8 per cent to 891 compared to 361 sales in January 2009. The benchmark price of an apartment property increased 15.2 per cent from January 2009 to $385,487.

Attached property sales in January 2010 are up 200 per cent to 327, compared with the 109 sales in January 2009. The benchmark price of an attached unit increased 13.4 per cent between January 2009 and 2010 to $482,478.


If you have any question in regards to this report please don't hesitate to contact me.

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Saturday, January 30, 2010

Woodward’s brings business and vigor back to the downtown east side

 

If there was any question what Woodward’s would do for businesses in the Downtown Eastside, that question has already been resoundingly answered. Businesses, both old and new, say the development has been great.

Even before Woodward’s was finished, the knowledge it was coming was enough to bring in new business, and more customers.

Nuba Restaurant opened in the area in 2003, when Woodward’s was just an empty shell and looked like it would stay that way for a while.

“Seven years ago, this area was really pretty bleak,” owner Victor Bouzide said. “Every other person on the street was pushing pot.”

In the early days, a dead body was found in a dumpster near the restaurant.

But Bouzide knew Nuba’s good Lebanese food would be a hit, especially with students. With the Vancouver Film School nearby, there were lots of them.

“That’s what really prompted me,” said Bouzide, who now has a second location in the city and plans to open a third before the summer. “And I figured [the area] would improve. It couldn’t get much worse than it was.”

It has improved. Last year, Nuba moved from its original 550-square-foot location in the 300 block of West Hastings to its current 3,700-square-foot restaurant a block further east. Rather than serving 100 people a day, it now caters to an average 500, including takeout.

The clientele has changed too, with more well-dressed professionals and office workers in the mix, Bouzide said.

A few years ago, people weren’t willing to come to the restaurant because of its address, he said. Now they are.

Even older establishments are enjoying the renaissance. The Bourbon Pub has been in the same location at 50 Cordova St., a block east of Woodward’s, since 1936. During the day, its cheap beer — $3.50 a pint — attracts the locals, many who live in the hotel above the bar.

Before, people who came into the area headed straight for a particular restaurant or pub, the Bourbon’s general manager Avi Smith said. Now, with the introduction of Woodward’s, there’s a lot more foot traffic.

A lot of the younger residents in the buildings have been coming in as well, looking for a local pub to frequent, Smith said.

In the evenings, the Bourbon has live music or a DJ and that has attracted a student crowd, especially on weekends. This month, the pub started student nights on Tuesdays with no cover charge for students and 1990s music. That’s already taken off, Smith said, and it can only get better with the opening of Simon Fraser University’s School for the Contemporary Arts.

“As soon as they started doing the renovations on the building we started licking our lips and rubbing our hands together. We were so excited,” Smith said.

The addition of Woodward’s has brought in new businesses as well.

Dean Ferguson opened his hair studio, Stuart Dean Salon, on West Cordova, across the street from Woodward’s, a year ago in anticipation of what was coming. Before that he had been in Yaletown, which he said was getting over-saturated with salons.

“So I wanted to go somewhere I knew was up-and-coming and be the first one with my foot in the door,” Ferguson said.

Business has been good from Day One.

“Even before Woodward’s there have been a lot of great clients that have come in, like design people, architects, people like that,” he said.

Now with Woodward’s there is even more street traffic.

“I was busy, but it’s definitely gotten busier,” Ferguson said.

John Neate had been looking for a Gastown location for his JJ Bean coffee shop for some time, and was happy to snag a spot in the Woodward’s development.

With shops on Powell Street, Commercial Drive and Main Street, as well as other locations, JJ Bean considers itself an eastside roaster.

“Some businesses would fear going in there because they’re not familiar with the people in the Downtown Eastside,” Neate said. “[But] we’ve always been really comfortable being on the eastside.”

The biggest draw for the location, though, was the artists, restaurateurs and SFU.

“There are our kind of people there,” Neate said — the people who really appreciate good coffee.

At JJ Bean everything — the grinding and making the coffee — is done by hand, and that means it takes a bit longer than in other coffee shops.

“So the consumer who just wants the caffeine fix is not our customer,” Neate said. “The person that actually notices the difference between good coffee and excellent coffee, that’s our customer.”

The new businesses, including Woodward’s anchor tenants Nesters Market and London Drugs, has attracted one of Canada’s major banks into the area. TD Canada Trust is officially opening a branch in the Woodward’s building today, the only branch in an area better known for payday loan outlets.

Branch manager Spencer Leslie and his staff have made the rounds of the neighbourhood visiting everyone — businesses, employment centres and shelters. The group also plans to offer workshops on saving and other financial strategies to help the local community.

The idea is to complement the community and ensure everyone knows they’re welcome, Leslie said.

To help that along, all the staff at the branch have some tie to the Downtown Eastside.

In Leslie’s case, it’s his grandfather, who used to decorate the windows at Woodward’s at Christmas. Leslie’s office in the corner of the heritage building is surrounded by the windows his grandfather would have worked on. Leslie hinted he planned to give that tradition a comeback next Christmas.

Having a bank branch as part of the development “is a great opportunity,” Leslie said. “Look at the towers above. Look at the amount of people walking down the street. This is a great location.”

“I’m extremely proud to be here,” he added.

 

source provided by the Vancouver Sun; http://ow.ly/121du

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Nadia Doucet Ph: 604-230-1111
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